Essay:Prospects of libertarian candidates winning

From Mises Wiki, the global repository of classical-liberal thought
Jump to: navigation, search
Essay.svg This essay contains the opinions of one or more authors and does not necessarily represent the views of Mises Wiki or the Mises Institute. Mises Wiki essays may sometimes contain opinions that are not widely accepted by Austrian school thinkers, but nonetheless reside on the site to help stimulate critical thinking, constructive dialog, and an open-minded process of creative problem-solving furthering the growth of the body of Austrian school thought.

There are many possible answers to the question "What are your odds of winning?" which is frequently asked libertarian and other third-party candidates.

Conditional answers

  • "I think that if the voters hear what I have to say, they will agree with my positions and vote for me."
  • "If the media responsibly reports on my positions, then I have a great chance to win."
  • "Assuming that the political system isn't rigged against third parties and that the voters are intelligent, well-informed, rational decision-makers, who judge candidates' merits based on facts and evidence and disregard appeals to emotion and other fallacious arguments raised by demagogues, and who are motivated primarily by respect for the rights of others and a desire to further the public interest even at the sacrifice of their own selfish desires, there is no reason that I can't win."

Answers that redefine victory

  • "Given the difficulties third-party candidates face in winning office, I'll personally count my race as a 'win' if I can find new libertarians and get them ready to support our candidates next year. We Libertarians believe we're in a marathon, not a one-year sprint."

Other dodges

  • "I'm running to win, because people don't run in elections to lose."

External links